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Note from Joseph: "It is possible
that September was the price low in the Davis housing market for this
cycle. In September, prices of sold homes were down almost 20%
from their peak in Summer 2005. But still, every week a few sellers
cut their list prices to unload their properties, and these sellers
are usually achieving a quick sale. These properties represent
what I think may be genuine opportunities for savvy buyers. It is
by no means certain that such deals will be easy to come by once
activity picks-up after the New Year. Generally, prices appear to
have stabilized, at least for now, as interest rates have fallen
significantly, inventories have fallen, and the most desperate sellers
may now have unloaded their properties."
Joseph Whitcombe is a REALTOR, real estate broker, and attorney at law. Mr. Whitcombe
specializes in serving buyers and sellers of homes, condos, and
investment properties in Davis, California. Whitcombe & Co.
had the highest average transaction value of any real estate agency in
Davis in 2005.
Call Joseph at (530) 219-1000 for any
reason...
Email Joseph at: contact@davismls.com
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In This Issue:
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* October Real Estate Market Report For Davis |
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* Listings of note |
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October Market Report For Davis:
Seasonally low sales better than last year, time on market falls
significantly again, overall inventory falls sharply, and prices
rise significantly. |
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Octobers are usually pretty slow months in the housing
market, and October 2006 was no exception. 28 homes, condos, and halfplexes
closed escrow (note that this number is actually
indicative of market activity in September 2006 when most of the sales
actually went pending). However, that was higher than
last October's 21 sales.
In October, the average time on market of sold properties
fell to 50 days, down again from 59 days in September and 69
in August. Housing prices
using my favorite measure, median price per square foot,
were $326.84, up significantly from $310.12
per
square foot in September. The more volatile median
sale price also rose significantly to $605,000 in October
from $575,000 in September, and the average price per square foot
rose to $330 in October from $323 in September.
The overall inventory of homes, condos, and halfplexes in
Davis fell sharply to 176, from 228 units at the writing of
the last Newsletter, and down
from a high of about 265 in the Spring.

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| Price Range |
Current
Market Conditions |
| Up to
$300,000 |
The
sub-$300,000 market remained in "buyers market"
territory. There are currently 8 units, all condos, in this price
range, with only one sale in the last 30 days. That's
obviously a supply of over 6 months. Of the two
recent sales, one buyer got more than $25,000 off the
list price.
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| $300,001-$400,000 |
This
price range continues in "buyers' market, with five
pending sales in the last 30 days,
while there are currently 33 active listings.
Price concessions achieved by buyers have increased,
some getting more than $20,000 off list prices.
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| $400,001-$500,000 |
With 33 units on the market, and
6 pending sales in the last
month, this price range moved into technical
"neutral market" territory. Price
concessions are now in the $10,000 to $15,000 range.
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| $500,001-$600,000 |
With 43 units on the market, and
3 pending sales in the last month, this market
segment continues in "buyers' market"
territory. Some buyers are getting significant price
concessions in this price range in the $20,000 range.
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| $600,001-$700,000 |
Inventory
in this price range fell substantially to 23 units as
listings were cancelled and expired without being
renewed. Only one pending sale was registered in
the last 30 days, placing this market in
"buyers" territory. Price concessions were
substantial. The lower $600,000s is still the
price range where a family can
get a good all-around house.
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| $700,001-$800,000 |
Inventory
fell significantly to 13 from 21
listings in this price category. With three
pending sales, this price range is in "neutral
market" territory. A buyer in this range can
expect to get about $20,000 off list prices.
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| $800,001-$1,000,000 |
With only
12 listings, and four more pending sales in the last 30
days, (after a flurry of 6 pending sale in September) this price segment
continues in "sellers' market"
territory. To reiterate, it appears that a significant number of
affluent home buyers have been waiting until the end of
summer to make their purchases, and are now buying, but
driving hard bargains too. Price concessions
were again all over the board, some as high as $100,000,
bringing several homes from above to below the $1
million price range.
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| Over
$1,000,000 |
Inventory
in
this price range is now only 14 listings, but there were
no pending sales in the last 30 days, placing this segment
in "buyers' market" territory. I still believe
that this market will pick up before long.
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| Income
Properties |
With 10 listings and
two pending sales in the last month, the income
property market is technically in "neutral market"
territory.
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| Estimates
reflect Whitcombe & Co.'s subjective assessment of
Davis real estate market conditions based on sales and listing
data from the MLS, general
market activity, and buyer and seller attitudes. A
sellers' real estate market is indicated when homes sell quickly at
or above their listing prices, and/or when inventories are
low. A
neutral real estate market is indicated when homes sell at or just
below their listing prices within a reasonable period of
time, and/or
inventories are moderate. A
buyers' real estate market is indicated when homes tend
to sell for
significantly less than their list prices, remain on
the market for longer periods of time, and/or inventories
are high.
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Listings of note |
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Newer 3/3 at about 1500 Sqft. in the $400K-$450 range.
After five similar homes have recently sold, this may be one
of the last of these types of homes to sell in this price
range. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
Remodeled 1600 Sqft. 4/2: In South Davis in the low $500K
range: This is a rare opportunity for a complete home
in this price range. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
1900 Sqft. 4/3 in North Davis in the low $600K
range. Great house, great location. For reasons
that I will not now disclose, this home looks like a
steal. Call and I'll explain why. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
2800 Sqft. 5/3 in Aspen in the $800K range: After a
$40,000 price reduction, and now at less than $300 per
square foot, this looks is a very good deal to own a large
home in one of the best Davis neighborhoods. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
Incredible
Aspen Home at $1,060,000: DRAMATIC price reduction
offers a chance to own one of the
marquis homes and locations in all of Davis at very
remarkably low price. For info, call
(530) 219-1000.
Large
2/1 Condo In North Davis: At $369,950 and with 1460
square feet, a large living area, a large den with a
fireplace, and a breakfast nook, this listing (by Whitcombe
& Co.) is in an A+ location in North
Davis, complete with a fully functional solar heating and
hot water system. For info, call (530) 219-1000.
Rare
Halfplex In Aspen at $394,000: This 2/1 halfplex
(listed by Whitcombe & Co.) is in an A+ location in
Aspen, has new tile and carpet, and a large back yard.
These units are loved by all, and come on the market only
rarely. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
Income
property: A 6-unit apartment complex presents a great opportunity for
an investment or 1031 exchange. This
is excellent cash flow for a
Davis investment property. For info, call (530)
219-1000. |
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The information in this
newsletter is thought to be accurate, but not guaranteed and should not
be relied upon for any reason. The opinions in this Newsletter are
provided in good faith, but are not guaranteed to be accurate and
should not be relied upon. If you want advice you can rely on in
making decisions about real estate matters, you
should directly consult a real estate broker. The information
regarding market conditions in this newsletter was derived on
December 5, 2006, and is believed to be accurate as of that date.
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Copyright
© 2006 Whitcombe & Co., ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
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